Black carbon (BC) aerosols are short-lived climate pollutants with important, but uncertain, climate impacts. In this Review, we synthesize observations of atmospheric BC concentrations, sources, optical properties, lifetimes and climate effects, drawing comparisons with atmospheric model simulations. Isotopic fingerprinting reveals regional differences in BC sources, with biomass burning contributing 93 +/- 3% in sub-Saharan Africa, 56 +/- 7% in South Asia and 28 +/- 5% in East Asia. Atmospheric BC loadings have declined in South America, East Asia, Europe and North America, and stabilized in Africa and South Asia owing to clean air policies and advances in technology and practices. The optical properties of BC influence its climate effects. The global-mean mass absorption coefficient (MAC550) of atmospheric BC is 12.3 +/- 5.8 m2 g-1, being highest in Africa, Europe and South Asia. MAC550 is enhanced near universally by 1.6 +/- 0.4 owing to ageing during long-range transport. In major emission regions, the aerosol absorption optical depth and the direct aerosol radiative forcing ratio between the bottom and the top of the atmosphere are lower in model simulations than in observations by factors of 2 and 1.5, respectively. Relative to long-term observations, model simulations estimate higher BC deposition fluxes but lower concentrations and sunlight absorption. These discrepancies have implications for the accuracy of model representations of humidity, clouds, precipitation and climate forcing. Future research should prioritize comparisons of emission inventory and model estimates with observations to enhance model accuracy and guide mitigation efforts.

Global warming is accelerating the glacier and snow shrinkage in the Tien Shan. This study assesses the impacts of meltwater changes on soil moisture and hydrological processes using VIC-CAS, a glacier-expanded Variable Infiltration Capacity model, refined by improving the glacier-melt algorithm and incorporating a snowmelt pathway-tracking scheme. Projections were conducted across six glacierized basins in the Northern Tien Shan, with model calibration and validation using remote-sensing snow/glacier data and observed streamflow. By the late century (2080-2100), snowmelt runoff will decrease by one-third to two-thirds owing to decreasing snowfall. In the Bayingou River Basin (BRB), comprising large glaciers, glacier retreat is slow, and glacier runoff will increase until the 2060s. In contrast, glacier runoff in the other five basins, having surpassed the glacier runoff tipping points, will decline substantially. Glacier runoff remains the primary driver of annual streamflow variability with the BRB showing little change, while the other basins experience a one-fourth decrease in annual streamflow by the late 21st century. Reduced summer meltwater will exacerbate water scarcity, with summer streamflow declining by over one-third in basins with declining glacier runoff, and by nearly 10 % in the BRB. In mountainous areas above 2000 m, increased evapotranspiration is projected to reduce annual mean soil moisture by 10.5-16.3 % by the late century, with a more substantial decrease of 12.4-20 % during July-September due to reduced snowmelt. Continued glacier and snow shrinkage will intensify hydrological and ecological droughts, posing major challenges for water resource management and ecological protection.

Permafrost degradation under climate warming plays a crucial role in hydrological and ecological processes, including the regional water cycle and terrestrial carbon balance. The Tibetan Plateau (TP), which contains the largest expanse of high-altitude permafrost globally, remains understudied in terms of how permafrost degradation affects surface water resources and regional carbon dynamics. Using permafrost simulation models and quantitative analysis, we assess the spatiotemporal impacts of permafrost degradation on surface water resources and carbon dynamics. In the inner endorheic regions of the TP, ground ice meltwater contributed 12.6% of the total lake volume increase from 2000 to 2020, accelerating lake expansion and affecting nearby infrastructure and ecosystems. Cryospheric meltwater accounted for 4.6% of total runoff in the source areas of the Yangtze, Yellow, Lancang, Yarlung Zangbo, and Nujiang Rivers in 2002-2018. This cryospheric meltwater contribution is projected to peak in the 2030s-2040s, followed by a decline, with potentially profound implications for downstream water availability. From 2000 to 2020, carbon sequestration of alpine grassland in permafrost regions is 1.05-1.29 Tg C a-1 in 2000-2020. This estimate is underestimated by approximately 35.5% to 48.1% without considering the impact of permafrost degradation. Top-down thawing of permafrost from 2002 to 2050 is projected to release 129.39 +/- 21.02 Tg C a-1 of thawed soil organic carbon (SOC), with 20.82 +/- 3.06 Tg C a-1 decomposed annually. Additionally, permafrost collapse and thermokarst lake are estimated to reduce ecosystem carbon sinks by 0.41 (0.29-0.52) Tg C a-1 in 2020. (c) 2025 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. and Science China Press. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).

Ice records provide a qualitative rather than a quantitative indication of the trend of climate change. Using the bulk aerodynamic method and degree day model, this study quantified ice mass loss attributable to sublimation/evaporation (S/E) and meltwater on the basis of integrated observations (1960-2006) of glacier-related and atmospheric variables in the northeastern Tibetan Plateau. During 1961-2005, the average annual mass loss in the ice core was 95.33 +/- 20.56 mm w.e. (minimum: 78.97 mm w.e. in 1967, maximum: 146.67 mm w.e. in 2001), while the average ratio of the revised annual ice accumulation was 21.2 +/- 7.7% (minimum: 11.0% in 1992, maximum 44.8% in 2000). A quantitative formula expressing the relationship between S/E and air temperature at the monthly scale was established, which could be extended to estimation of S/E changes of other glaciers in other regions. The elevation effect on alpine precipitation determined using revised ice accumulation and instrumental data was found remarkable. This work established a method for quantitative assessment of the temporal variation in ice core mass loss, and advanced the reconstruction of long-term precipitation at high elevations. Importantly, the formula established for reconstruction of S/E from temperature time series data could be used in other regions.

Study area: Urumqi Glacier No.1 Catchment in central Asia. Study focus: Chemical weathering at the basin scale is important process for understanding the feedback mechanism of the carbon cycle and climate change. This study mainly used the actual sampling data in 2013, 2014, and 2016, and the first collection from the literature in same catchment to analyze the seasonal and interannual characteristics of meltwater runoff, as well as cation denudation rate (CDR). New hydrological insights for the study region: The dominant ions of meltwater runoff are Ca2 +, HCO3- , and SO42-, which are mainly derived from calcite dissolution, feldspar weathering and sulfide oxidation. Meltwater runoff at Urumqi Glacier No.1 has higher concentrations of Ca2+ and lower concentrations of HCO3- than that from glaciers in Asia. Compared to 2006 and 2007, cation concentrations increased in 2013 and 2014, while SO42- concentration decreased. The daily ion concentration has seasonality and exhibits a negative relationship with discharge. Daily CDR is positively related to discharge and temperature. Annual CDR values range from 12.34 to 19.04 t/ km2/yr in 2013, 2014, and 2016, which are 1-1.7 times higher than those in 2006 and 2007 and higher than some glaciers in Asia. These results indicate that chemical weathering rate in the Urumqi Glacier No.1 catchment has increased with climate warming, and it is stronger than that of some glaciers in the Tibetan Plateau and surroundings.

Study region: The source area of the Yangtze River, a typical catchment in the cryosphere on the Tibet Plateau, was used to develop and validate a distributed hydrothermal coupling model. Study focus: Climate change has caused significant changes in hydrological processes in the cryosphere, and related research has become hot topic. The source area of the Yangtze River (SAYR) is a key catchment for studies of hydrological processes in the cryosphere, which contains widespread glacier, snow, and permafrost. However, the current hydrological modeling of the SAYR rarely depicts the process of glacier/snow and permafrost runoff from the perspective of coupled water and heat transfer, resulting in distortion of simulations of hydrological processes. Therefore, we developed a distributed hydrothermal coupling model, namely WEP-SAYR, based on the WEP-L (Water and energy transfer process in large river basins) model by introducing modules for glacier and snow melt and permafrost freezing and thawing. New hydrological insights for the region: In the WEP-SAYR model, the soil hydrothermal transfer equations were improved, and a freezing point equation for permafrost was introduced. In addition, the glacier and snow meltwater processes were described using the temperature index model. Compared to previously applied models, the WEP-SAYR portrays in more detail glacier/ snow melting, dynamic changes in permafrost water and heat coupling, and runoff dynamics, with physically meaningful and easily accessible model parameters. The model can describe the soil temperature and moisture changes in soil layers at different depths from 0 to 140 cm. Moreover, the model has a good accuracy in simulating the daily/monthly runoff and evaporation. The Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency exceeded 0.75, and the relative error was controlled within +/- 20 %. The results showed that the WEP-SAYR model balances the efficiency of hydrological simulation in large scale catchments and the accurate portrayal of the cryosphere elements, which provides a reference for hydrological analysis of other catchments in the cryosphere.

Ny-& Aring;lesund, located in Arctic Svalbard, is one of the most sensitive areas on Earth to global warming. In recent years, accelerated glacier ablation has become remarkable in Ny-& Aring;lesund. Glacial meltwaters discharge a substantial quantity of materials to the ocean, affecting downstream ecosystems and adjacent oceans. In August 2015, various water samples were taken near Ny-& Aring;lesund, including ice marginal meltwater, proglacial meltwater, supraglacial meltwater, englacial meltwater, and groundwater. Trace metals (Al, Cr, Mn, Fe, Co, Cu, Zn, Cd, and Pb), major ions, alkalinity, pH, dissolved oxygen, water temperature and electric conductivity were also measured. Major ions were mainly controlled by chemical weathering intensity and reaction types, while trace metals were influenced by both chemical weathering and physicochemical control upon their mobility. Indeed, we found that Br & oslash;ggerbreen was dominated by carbonate weathering via carbonation of carbonate, while Austre Lov & eacute;nbreen and Pedersenbreen were dominated by sulfide oxidation coupled with carbonate dissolution with a doubled silicate weathering. The higher enrichment of trace metals in supraglacial meltwater compared to ice marginal and proglacial meltwater suggested anthropogenic pollution from atmospheric deposition. In ice marginal and proglacial meltwater, principal component analysis indicated that trace metals like Cr, Al, Co, Mn and Cd were correlated to chemical weathering. This implies that under accelerated glacier retreat, glacier-derived chemical components are subjected to future changes in weathering types and intensity.

Observing the isotopic evolution of snow meltwater helps in understanding the process of snow melting but remains a challenge to acquire in the field. In this study, we monitored the melting of two snowpacks near Baishui Glacier No. 1, a typical temperate glacier on the southeastern Tibetan Plateau. We employed a physically based isotope model (PBIM) to calculate the isotopic composition of meltwater draining from natural snowpacks. The initial condition of the PBIM was revised to account for natural conditions, i.e., the initial delta O-18 stratigraphy of snow layers before melting. Simulations revealed that the initial heterogeneity of delta O-18 in snow layers as well as ice-liquid isotopic exchange were responsible for most variations of delta O-18 in snow meltwater, whereas new snow and wind drift could result in sudden changes of the isotopic composition of the meltwater. The fraction of ice involved in the isotopic exchange (f) was the most sensitive parameter for the model output. The initial delta O-18 in the snowpack is mirrored in meltwater in case of smallfand is smoothed with a large exchange fractionf. The other unknown parameter of the PBIM is the dimensionless rate constant of isotopic exchange, which depends on water percolation and initial snow depth. The successful application of the PBIM in the field might not only be useful for understanding snow melting process but might also provide the possibility of predicting the isotopic composition of snow meltwater and improve the accuracy of hydrograph separation.

Snow and glaciers provide water to the densely populated downstream area of the Tarim River Basin, which is an important irrigated agricultural area in China. Cotton is an important cash crop, and meltwater is an important irrigation water source for cotton in this region. In this study, the spatiotemporal dependence of cotton yield on mountain meltwater resources in the subbasins of the Tarim River basin was quantified by the variable infil-tration capacity (VIC) hydrologic model with the degree-day and CROPR models during 1960-2017. The results showed that the changes in meltwater in all subbasins had a significantly increasing trend. Meltwater contri-butions to cotton irrigation and yield varied spatiotemporally. Along the area south of the Tian Shan Mountains, the meltwater contribution to irrigation showed a decreasing trend from west to east, and the highest contri-bution of meltwater to cotton yield occurred in the Weigan River basin, followed by the Aksu River basin and Kaidu River basin. Along the northern Karakoram Mountains, the meltwater contributions to cotton irrigation and yield first decreased and then increased from west to east. In the whole basin, 48.6% of total irrigation withdrawals originated from mountain snow and glacial meltwater and contributed an additional 55.9% to total cotton production during the study period. The results provide important agricultural information for locations where shifts in water availability and demand are projected as a result of socioeconomic growth.

Monitoring the variations in terrestrial water storage (TWS) is crucial for understanding the regional hydrological processes, which helps to allocate and manage basin-scale water resources efficiently. In this study, the impacts of climate change, glacier mass loss, and human activities on the variations in TWS of the Qaidam Basin over the period of 2002-2020 were investigated by using Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) and GRACE Follow-On (GRACE-FO) data, and other hydrological and meteorological data. The results indicate that TWS anomalies (TWSA) derived from five GRACE solutions experienced significant increasing trends over the study period, with the change rates ranging from 4.85 to 6.90 mm/year (1.37 to 1.95 km(3)/year). The GRACE TWSA averaged from different GRACE solutions exhibited an increase at a rate of 5.83 +/- 0.12 mm/year (1.65 +/- 0.03 km(3)/year). Trends in individual components of TWS indicate that the increase in soil moisture (7.65 mm/year) contributed the most to the variations in TWS. Through comprehensive analysis, it was found that the temporal variations in TWS of the Qaidam Basin were dominated by the variations in precipitation, and the spatial variations in TWS of the Qaidam Basin were mostly driven by the increase in glacier meltwater due to climate warming, particularly in the Narin Gol Basin. In addition, the water consumption associated with human activities had relatively fewer impacts.